What the polls are saying

The "538 Blog" --- http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ --- which may be the best of its kind, puts the odds of an Obama win at 71% and of a Romney win at 29%.  Author Nate Silver see Barack garnering 290 electoral votes to Romney's 247.  He gives the Prez 50% of the popular vote to Romney's 49%.

The Huffington Post says the "Romney Surge" is a myth:  http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/25/presidential-polls-romney-surge_n_2016066.html?utm_hp_ref=mitt-romney-2012

It reports that the top seven polls in the country are split between Romney and Obama.  The numbers are so tight that the margins of error pretty much wipe out what small spreads they are finding.

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